See what your fuel bill actually did in past Gulf crises

Enter your monthly spend, fuel type, and country. Get a sourced table of historical impacts from 5 crises — not a forecast, your measured baseline.

Monthly fuel spend

$

Fuel type

Country

() => { const pt = (passThroughData[country] || passThroughData.GLOBAL)[fuel]?.["oman-2019"]; if (!pt) return ""; const low = Math.round(spend * pt.low / 100); const high = Math.round(spend * pt.high / 100); const t_ = t[lang]; const fuelName = currentFuel()[`name_${lang}`] || currentFuel().name_en; const countryName = currentCountry()[`name_${lang}`] || currentCountry().name_en; return `${t_.live_preview_prefix} ${countryName.toLowerCase()} ${fuelName.toLowerCase()} ${t_.live_preview_suffix} ${currencySymbol()}${spend}${t_.live_preview_per_month} +${pt.low}–${pt.high}% (${currencySymbol()}${low}–${currencySymbol()}${high}${t_.live_preview_per_month})`; }

Your Historical Baseline

Crisis	Crude spike	Your fuel % range	Your $ impact	Confidence	Sources & methodology

How It's Calculated

1

Crude baseline

EIA WTI & Brent monthly spot prices (source: eia.gov/petroleum, retrieved 2024-12). Pre-crisis = 3-month average before incident start date.

pre = mean(crude[t-3:t-1])\npeak = max(crude[t:t+crisis])\ncrude_spike = (peak - pre) / pre × 100

2

Retail pass-through

National retail series from EIA (US), IEA (OECD), OECD.Stat (EU), national ministries (CN, IN, BR). Pass-through % = (retail peak − retail pre) / (crude peak − crude pre) per crisis.

pass_through = (retail_peak - retail_pre) / (crude_peak - crude_pre)\nrange = P25–P75(pass_through across stations/regions)

3

Your impact

Your spend × pass-through range (low = 25th percentile, high = 75th percentile across stations/regions in source data).

low_impact = spend × P25 / 100\nhigh_impact = spend × P75 / 100

Save & Reuse

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Oil shocks from the Gulf recur every few years. This link is your personal baseline — no re-entry needed.

Crises covered: 5; NIMA incident logs + major news archives (1987–2024)
Data series embedded: 12 country × 3 fuel retail series + 2 crude benchmarks; EIA, IEA, OECD.Stat, national ministries; retrieved 2024-12
Pass-through calculation: 25th–75th percentile range per crisis; Computed from station/region variance in source retail data

Crude baseline

Retail pass-through

Your impact

Data Statistics